Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1266.536258 1436.324099 1623.927700 1847.185614 2106.399635 2398.782277 2754.817771
2025-10-26 1006.279400 1231.748211 1503.760749 1858.618722 2313.012896 2880.290440 3649.845173
2025-11-02 881.358402 1134.957984 1459.482020 1910.323858 2528.498089 3358.213781 4576.316672
2025-11-09 786.186535 1053.972369 1413.181309 1938.335501 2700.150918 3786.602948 5492.893107
2025-11-16 710.876465 985.899345 1369.860112 1956.353437 2849.906877 4194.284423 6437.310216
2025-11-23 651.590168 931.028986 1335.180497 1977.166680 2999.568073 4614.972938 7465.931493
2025-11-30 606.410967 890.288623 1314.327401 2012.686597 3171.761041 5089.644688 8661.298569
2025-12-07 547.562586 822.162047 1243.512320 1958.820479 3188.314606 5304.760201 9434.256908
2025-12-14 497.036853 761.618135 1177.619700 1903.718163 3192.690598 5494.667667 10187.624875
2025-12-21 451.469858 704.565317 1111.372349 1839.570087 3171.064318 5631.214664 10856.491614
2025-12-28 435.438268 693.802246 1119.631779 1904.270191 3388.851329 6242.796987 12604.773884
2026-01-04 414.722742 673.191605 1108.909683 1933.079380 3541.832724 6749.432087 14229.138339
2026-01-11 392.800591 649.337503 1091.505407 1949.871203 3678.339502 7253.657384 15982.279899
2026-01-18 372.120635 625.978201 1072.954636 1962.703088 3809.491985 7769.991639 17890.027612
2026-01-25 359.320610 615.366475 1076.201401 2017.709065 4034.763093 8528.109903 20581.624607
2026-02-01 344.243036 599.259380 1067.561920 2047.540399 4209.615066 9200.721445 23220.882164
2026-02-08 329.125980 581.784578 1054.607554 2066.728999 4363.060845 9848.547505 25962.552934
2026-02-15 315.590170 566.167282 1043.754940 2088.896797 4526.078019 10548.225109 29047.930108
2026-02-22 304.788630 554.905406 1040.414857 2126.733418 4731.211155 11392.554261 32822.309510
2026-03-01 285.008836 524.655329 996.277819 2069.356495 4696.889966 11596.882493 34600.486191
2026-03-08 266.724088 496.121890 953.461337 2010.678079 4651.791269 11764.816870 36309.568324
2026-03-15 248.961000 467.487960 908.342402 1942.386798 4573.776350 11828.444624 37680.854119
2026-03-22 244.902717 466.382708 921.140302 2011.265855 4863.539502 13010.998595 43510.894967